Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.003351 0.003516 0.003685 0.003870 0.004069 0.004276 0.004507
2025-05-04 0.003035 0.003277 0.003536 0.003832 0.004162 0.004522 0.004944
2025-05-11 0.002838 0.003125 0.003438 0.003807 0.004232 0.004709 0.005289
2025-05-18 0.002685 0.003001 0.003354 0.003779 0.004281 0.004860 0.005584
2025-05-25 0.002611 0.002959 0.003353 0.003839 0.004426 0.005120 0.006012
2025-06-01 0.002509 0.002875 0.003298 0.003827 0.004479 0.005265 0.006302
2025-06-08 0.002410 0.002789 0.003232 0.003796 0.004502 0.005371 0.006542
2025-06-15 0.002306 0.002691 0.003148 0.003735 0.004482 0.005418 0.006703
2025-06-22 0.002217 0.002607 0.003075 0.003684 0.004471 0.005471 0.006870
2025-06-29 0.002161 0.002561 0.003046 0.003686 0.004524 0.005608 0.007155
2025-07-06 0.002058 0.002453 0.002935 0.003578 0.004428 0.005542 0.007154
2025-07-13 0.002012 0.002415 0.002911 0.003580 0.004478 0.005670 0.007428
2025-07-20 0.001990 0.002406 0.002924 0.003632 0.004595 0.005897 0.007857
2025-07-27 0.001930 0.002348 0.002873 0.003596 0.004591 0.005955 0.008044
2025-08-03 0.001881 0.002301 0.002833 0.003573 0.004605 0.006037 0.008266
2025-08-10 0.001833 0.002254 0.002792 0.003548 0.004611 0.006108 0.008475
2025-08-17 0.001820 0.002253 0.002811 0.003603 0.004733 0.006350 0.008959
2025-08-24 0.001782 0.002217 0.002782 0.003592 0.004759 0.006450 0.009224
2025-08-31 0.001739 0.002174 0.002743 0.003563 0.004758 0.006509 0.009426
2025-09-07 0.001689 0.002119 0.002685 0.003507 0.004715 0.006501 0.009516
2025-09-14 0.001644 0.002071 0.002635 0.003460 0.004682 0.006509 0.009631
2025-09-21 0.001618 0.002048 0.002620 0.003462 0.004723 0.006629 0.009941
2025-09-28 0.001559 0.001977 0.002536 0.003363 0.004606 0.006499 0.009815